Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000106 0.000112 0.000118 0.000126 0.000134 0.000143 0.000153
2024-12-22 0.000096 0.000104 0.000114 0.000125 0.000139 0.000154 0.000173
2024-12-29 0.000091 0.000101 0.000113 0.000128 0.000146 0.000168 0.000197
2025-01-05 0.000085 0.000096 0.000108 0.000125 0.000146 0.000172 0.000208
2025-01-12 0.000079 0.000090 0.000103 0.000120 0.000143 0.000172 0.000214
2025-01-19 0.000074 0.000085 0.000099 0.000117 0.000140 0.000172 0.000220
2025-01-26 0.000069 0.000080 0.000093 0.000111 0.000135 0.000168 0.000219
2025-02-02 0.000067 0.000079 0.000093 0.000112 0.000139 0.000176 0.000236
2025-02-09 0.000066 0.000078 0.000093 0.000114 0.000144 0.000187 0.000259
2025-02-16 0.000066 0.000078 0.000094 0.000116 0.000149 0.000198 0.000284
2025-02-23 0.000066 0.000080 0.000097 0.000122 0.000161 0.000220 0.000333
2025-03-02 0.000064 0.000077 0.000094 0.000119 0.000157 0.000218 0.000335
2025-03-09 0.000061 0.000074 0.000091 0.000117 0.000156 0.000221 0.000351
2025-03-16 0.000059 0.000072 0.000090 0.000117 0.000159 0.000230 0.000381
2025-03-23 0.000058 0.000072 0.000090 0.000119 0.000165 0.000246 0.000431
2025-03-30 0.000056 0.000070 0.000088 0.000116 0.000163 0.000247 0.000447
2025-04-06 0.000054 0.000067 0.000084 0.000112 0.000158 0.000242 0.000446
2025-04-13 0.000052 0.000064 0.000081 0.000109 0.000155 0.000240 0.000452
2025-04-20 0.000049 0.000061 0.000078 0.000104 0.000148 0.000231 0.000438
2025-04-27 0.000048 0.000061 0.000077 0.000105 0.000151 0.000241 0.000480
2025-05-04 0.000048 0.000060 0.000078 0.000107 0.000157 0.000257 0.000546
2025-05-11 0.000048 0.000060 0.000078 0.000108 0.000163 0.000274 0.000624
2025-05-18 0.000048 0.000062 0.000081 0.000114 0.000176 0.000311 0.000800